Wednesday, September 13, 2017

rent apartment palo alto


hey everybody. yes, as tina mentioned, 31 years ago today i - it was the greatest achievement of my life to that moment i was born. and on my birthday today, i'm very excited to be sharing my reflections on those 31 years with you. that's - in general birthdays are a special moment for reflection and i am extremely excited to be here to do that.

we have a lot of ground to cover in a few minutes and so i want to kind of start off by saying even though i am 31 years old, i am a fiduciary right now for about 150 people, have about 25 people working at our company that, i have to help make sure we make payroll and then we have about 80 companies with one or two founders each, so somewhere around 120 founders that we are supporting. so some of the responsibilities i feel like i have sometimes are more like a 51-year-old than 31,

and most people tell me i look 21. so this is the kind of my story and of rothenberg ventures which is only three years old. i want to first say that i can't really overstate how powerful and important stanford has been in my life. it was - this is just - it's not just a cradle of innovation, it's an incredible group of people that are constantly building each other up here and after. and there is nothing that i could have imagined that happened

in the stories i'm going to tell you after i had started at stanford that can even possibly be disaggregated from stanford. and i will talk again about stanford in a little bit, but it's an incredible thing to be here and be able to talk to you guys. in particular, the - not just the students who i still work with some people that i have - tommy was my roommate and brandon ran some bases things with me and so we still get to spend a lot of time together. but a lot of the professors that were here

left long and lasting impressions, and one of the reason why it's so special to be here at etl is because some of the professors that made the biggest impact on me like tina, and i'm not sure if tom and tom are here. oh, hi tom. but this experience of being able to be in this environment of optimism and practicality, but also the individual attention that was afforded is - it's just it's impossible to overstate.

so thank you very much. and then what i'm going to try to do is i'm going to try to tell you what i'll tell you, then tell you then tell you what i told you so, we have a few things to cover. i'm going to start with context, because i think it's safe to say that the vast majority of you have no idea who i am or why you should care. so we will try to establish some of that.

and then, there is a little bit of risk and adversity in everybody's story and i want to touch on that. without touching on that, it's not going to get us there. then i'm going to talk about how we invest, because we invest through networks. and i think that although we are not the only ones who invest through networks, perhaps our approach will be interesting to you. and then i want to talk about our actual company and

just sort of how we do some of the things we do. and so there is some - just for the sake of making it easy to remember, we call that the people and then the principles and the processes and so we will kind of talk about some of those things in case there is some stories and takeaways that we can leave you with. then i want to talk a little bit about strategy. in that particular section, i have got some thing to say that i've never said really to anybody outside of maybe some people in the front row.

it's an exciting time to do that. and then i'm going to end with a little bit about virtual reality and what we kind of see in the future and to that point this is a virtual reality camera rig. we do a lot of things in real-time, it's not that big a deal that we kind of set that up as we go, that probably is a good metaphor for what we do anyway. there is five red dragon cameras there that are stitched - that this is a custom made rig and what we can do after we film with this

is we can stitch it into virtual reality experiences like the ones that some of you were just trying with the headsets up here. and to that point we'll have those afterwards as well, we have a lot of these kinds of headsets so that you can actually experience what vra is, but we'll kind of end with that. as so just to kind of jump in, one of the things that i am really excited about today is i did get a chance to think about for a number of years what i might want to share

if i ever was on this stage with people who were sitting there, because i'm sure i sat through about 100 of these in these seats and never got tired of it. and so today i'm going to share some things that i have never said publicly in part because i believe that the way to do that is with the stanford community. and there are some things here that because our firm is so young there are some things here that are completely unproven. so there will be a little bit of a leap of faith here for you guys,

because one of the debates that i sort of had with some people who were really close to me about what to share here is that i don't put a lot of stock in what people say until they have done it. and on the other end of the spectrum, it is really important what people are trying to do and what their mission is. and so i'm going to share some things that it's safe to say we haven't done yet, with the hope of inspiration and i hope you'll take

that leap of faith with me on that because it - to some extent it is going to be a philosophy. all right. so for context, who am i? i'm mike rothenberg. hi guys. i was born in texas that was exciting. and the town georgetown, texas is safe to say pretty much only known

for having varsity blues filmed there. great movie. and so, what happened was it's a pretty, i would say, pretty normal town and not necessarily that exciting, but i was really fortunate to have parents that cared a lot about education. and so my mom tells me i showed interest in math and so that was - and so that was license to do tonnes of math problems. so i did probably malcolm gladwell's 10,000

hours of math and that got me an invitation to this institution, which is incredible. when i came here, i learned that some of my favorite things about math were actually pattern recognition in problem-solving. the actual solving of math is one manifestation of that, but here i learned many more. and in particular, entrepreneurship is an incredibly exciting place to apply pattern recognition in problem-solving, because those are unsolvable problems.

you are trying to figure out what you can build that is meaningful in the future and you have only your pattern recognition in the past, you have only your problem-solving to try to do it, you will never completely do it. the world is always changing. and you are always going to be dealing with people who are unpredictable, unsolvable, and incredibly exciting to work with. and so that was a - here really in the equivalent

of this classroom is where i transitioned fully from a math focus to an entrepreneurship focus. i went to the school of engineering and that led to essentially where we are now, which is a lot of exciting early stage seed companies that we get to work with everyday on the order of probably someone in our company is having a touch point with as many as a hundred companies a day. they are all trying to solve problems that haven't been solved before.

and so at stanford, one of the most impactful things i did was i got to learn from other people and in this particular room, i got to help run this seminar series with some folks here. i got to start a company and then when i graduated there were a lot of doors open for going to stanford and so i spent the next few years doing things like management consulting at bain & company and some time in private equity at audax. and so i had this resume it got me into harvard business school, which is a great place to learn and reflect.

and here we are. i'm 28 years old and i'm at harvard business school. it's a phenomenal school, now what. so this is where it gets interesting, because a lot of times we have an opportunity to present ourselves to people and it's very hard to do that except in a resume fashion and so what i just gave you was a resume. and everybody is more complicated than that. and whenever you think that somebody is just a resume,

you definitely don't know them. there is nobody that i have encountered who is just a resume. and partly what this moment here is for me to try to explore some things that are harder to talk about than a resume. and at harvard business school, like stanford, it was an opportunity to reflect and take stock of what was going on. it was - you can kind of go up a level and not be in the fray and it's a wonderful opportunity to actually think about what i was doing because

it's very hard to do that if you don't pull out and think about it. and so, when i was 28 and in my first year i went through a divorce and it was incredibly hard on me personally. there was an intense personal thing i'm going through and it was very hard on me. and then on a career front, i didn't necessarily find the things i had been doing to be fully fulfilling. and it's - if you listen too much to people outside what

they will say is that's a good job and they mean that, because there is a lot of things about those jobs that i mentioned and things like them that are good. and so - but what you have to decide is what are your values, are they good for you? and are they really what you should be pursuing and in a place like a classroom is a good place to reflect on that. and so what was interesting is i wasn't finding it to be very fulfilling in my - the jobs i had done or the jobs i was considering,

i had worked for and received an offer to go to a hedge fund and live in a place that i didn't necessarily care to live in, but be able to pay off student debt expediently that's always attractive. so if you have student debt and you have these jobs that other people call good, it's just very easy to go down that path and there is really nothing wrong with it, but i really want to kind of encourage people on the spirit

of entrepreneurship to question that though in terms of what it - make sure that it aligns with your value system. and i had a value system of mentorship. my first company i started here was a tutoring company. i had 25 of my classmates i was coordinating to tutor half of palo alto and it was fulfilling. i really enjoyed being on that - being able to coach and mentor and train. and i wasn't really doing that in my professional services jobs.

i really cared about innovation, i really cared about things on the cutting edge. i wasn't really doing that in these jobs. i really cared about exploration, creativity and trying to help people at scale. and i wasn't really doing all the things that i really wanted to do. and so what is really great about something that is perceived to be public failure such as a divorce or not being satisfied in your job or things,

is that it does allow you - it gives you permission to reset when maybe you didn't give yourself that permission, because you're already there. you are already at a place of public judging and so now you say fine, if that's going to happen, then let me just go ahead and figure it out. and one thing that i started doing in earnest there that i haven't stopped doing and hope to never stop doing is i started asking everybody that i trusted really what

they think and being relentlessly open to feedback. and one interesting thing about feedback is the first time you ask for it even from somebody you really trust is that they will tiptoe. if they're a good friend, they will tiptoe, because it's really hard to tell somebody go for the jugular the very first time, because you're not really sure if they mean it. people like can you give me feedback? and you say, yes sure,

your shoe is untied and they're like okay what else? and you have to kind of tease it out. and then finally when they say it - when you get to the thing that's like really maybe different from your worldview at the time, but they say it in a loving way they care about you and they're right, then that cognitive dissonance is the moment where you need to actually embrace that. and that is hard to do, but you have to say thank you.

and so what i learned to do over those few months is to ask people in my life what - for advice and all kinds of things personal and professional and say thank you. and then really think about what mattered and resonated. and one of the things professionally i got advice from including people who are professors, including people i worked for in the past and stuff is you should - you have a good eye for entrepreneurs. one of the professors at harvard said,

how many of your friends that you were friends with at stanford are now entrepreneurs and ceos of venture-backed companies? he was trying to get data to help me, help coach me, i said more than 50, maybe 100. he said that's not very normal. to have made friends with people and then they did that and then he said you maybe an entrepreneur talent scout, you may really like the kinds of things in people that help them do that.

and these are people who stayed in my life, and so he said you should at least try this if this is what you love and this is what you're passionate about. so i hadn't really thought about being a venture capitalist for one minute in my life until that and so then what i did was i - unfortunately i didn't have really almost any money. and so that's a classic entrepreneur problem is how do you figure something out without resources, but with limited resources,

you never have no resources and so what i did was i sublet my apartment so i didn't have to pay rent and i spent pretty much all of the money that i had on plane tickets to go around and reconnect with people in my life. and it was a dual purpose of being able to bring people back into my life and really listen to them on the personal side and also to ask that some of the folks that i had built relationships with about this idea of starting a venture fund and would they support it. and the very interesting thing is that -

well the easy story to tell is that, after that, 50 people invested $5 million and then i got to be a venture investor, that's factually true. but there is a little more to it, so by the end of the summer i had kind of just enough money for two chances to try to check and see on the ip side if i could name the firm certain things, there's all these like copyright protections and things.

and so i tried two things that i thought looked like they could work and paid the legal fees and stuff and neither of them were - they were both blocked. and so i ran out of money completely and i didn't have any more money for flights, for this, that, the other and so it turns out that you can call the firm your name and nobody can block you. so rothenberg ventures is actually called rothenberg ventures because i ran out of money.

and i did get advice from a couple of my lps and they said you're 28 and you have no venture experience, why don't you - you can call it, if you're mike rothenberg of rothenberg ventures, people will listen to you more than if you are mike rothenberg of something else. and also there is only one of you, so you might as well just own that. so i did.

and so now i'm mike rothenberg of rothenberg ventures. and then the other thing is because i ran out of money, i had to start the fund then, because that's really the main reason why it's like a $5 million fund, because that's - i kind of ran out of time and money. so the day i started the fund was the day after i ran out of money. so there i am now, i have a $5 million seed fund as rothenberg ventures and i'm still a second-year student at hbs.

and just as a side note, it is one of the worst pitches in general, you could possibly give to say i'm going to be by myself, i'm going to be a full-time student, i would like to go into a very complex difficult industry that i know nothing about, would you like to give me $5 million? not a good pitch in general. but what people i think were investing in was actually the relationships and the networks and there is a lot

more that goes on just than making a pitch, there is kind of the 10 years before that. so that's how it sort of got to the firm. now the other thing about having an idea or i guess a start-up, i've always run this more like a start-up than a venture firm and we still do. i will talk about that too later. but what's interesting is that you have to have some sort of thesis and idea and so i want to talk about the seed investing landscape,

because while i was fund-raising and things over the summer, i was actually doing first person, primary research. so another thing stanford afforded was open doors to - and i was a student at the time remember, because i was at a business school. so when you're a student, and then you have this network that started here at stanford, then people will talk to you and it's just a wonderful pass and so i got to ask questions that really could have sounded quite

stupid if i didn't feel the full permission as a student. and in fact, the more stupid you feel asking the question, the more you need to ask that question immediately. don't ever hide that, that goes for everything. so what happened was i formed an opinion of the seed landscape, seed investing landscape from an outsider perspective, because i had never actually done it and so there - although that's - there is a lot of problems with that, meaning not having that experience,

then what you can do is you can bridge that by talking to experts and really listening. and so that's what i did and i'm sure i talked to 500 people and i talked to investors and people who were venture backed and people who invested in me and i began to form a thesis. and so, what i believe is really interesting about the seed investing landscape and i'm sure you've had some other people talk about ventures, so i won't go into the whole thing.

but it is now for five or 10 years, it is now way less expensive to build a venture - to build a technology start-up than ever before. and that is largely due to the variabilization of most costs. so where in the past there could have been a tremendous number of fixed costs to buy things like server farms, almost - thanks to folks like amazon and so on. there is almost - everything you do can be variabilized. and that's incredible, that's incredible.

that means that you can run, very inexpensive tests from school or dorm rooms or anywhere and then if they start to work, then you can scale up with your company. and that started to happen probably 8 or 10 years ago and then it's been accelerating. and that does also mean that for a couple of million dollars for a company to be able to actually have credibility to grow into a large-scale start-up was not really even a viable thing up until then.

and so then there were some early pioneers in seed investing, but even that took a little bit and so it's still only been in the last, i would say five years tops where people have really started to dive into seed investing and that's been a - just an explosion and seed companies. and so on the seed company side, there are at least 10,000, if not 20,000 or 50,000 different start-up ideas, people starting things that you could as a seed investor

invest in and they're all around the country and by definition they're kind of undiscovered and that's what it is. and so this is a new problem. this is a problem that people were not solving 10 years ago. how do you parse through 50,000 start-ups that aren't even necessarily something that you can see or find or touch without - well how do you do that? and then the other thing is that as a seed investor, you have less capital to deploy by definition.

and so now you have way less capital than bigger vcs and you have way more opportunities and things that you have to distill. and i would pause it there for this group that that's a relatively unsolved problem. the one thing i can say that does not work is the venture model that work - that does work if you have $500 million and a team of 25 people and a finite world where you are the next institutional investor, because then you can look at what's already been backed and that's a finite world.

so that business model makes a lot of sense if you are a big fund. and if you are a small fund trying to parse down 50,000 companies, it actually makes no sense. and so there is a few different ways that you could attack that, i think and one is hyper-specialization and that could work. and the other one is differentiation. and there is not much of that in the early seed for the reasons i mentioned. fortunately, if you're really trying to distill

down how to reach - how to figure that out, there is a pattern that great founders do all have in common that is actually - that's actionable and visible. and that is great founders are amazing at getting support. they're amazing at getting support from people who can really help them. that is what entrepreneurship is, is getting support outside of which you can currently control and so because of that you can observe who are good entrepreneurs,

by who they are building relationships with, that is called a network. so the network is the only thing that matters in seed. it's the only thing that matters in seed. so how do you build a network? well, there is - there are lot of ways to do it, but one thing to keep in mind is that it must be authentic and it must be engaging. and so what - and it must have alignment.

the people who are in your network must also benefit from it. everyone must benefit from it. if they're not benefiting from it, it won't be rational for them to do it and so you have to structure it correctly. and so one of the things that we have done since the beginning, is actually find the people that we really want to build those long-term networks with and people we respect and people who could advise us and advise our companies and all of these things,

and actually see if they will invest in us. because if they won't invest, then they are not really sold obviously. and so that's the real test. and the beautiful thing about trying to find out if somebody will invest is if they won't invest, they will often tell you why if you really mean it, if you ask and mean it. so we have 150 investors and the vast majority of them,

well over 100 are founders and ceos and execs of big tech companies, professors and accelerator heads and venture capitalists, they are experts. and by doing that, then we can kind of tap into the bigger network and individually these folks have incredible networks and collectively it's comprehensive. and so building that network is really difficult, but maintaining it is also difficult. and so i'm going to talk about that in a little bit.

how do you maintain a network like that once you have it? and so as an investor, you do have to make choices and these do come through. in our case these comes through our network in pretty much every case. and at the very beginning, when it was just me and 50 lps and no reputation as - out of school, then some of the first choices that you make really matter a lot and one of the most powerful signals that you can have is who you

personally know has a track record of walking through walls. and so here at stanford, i met a few amazing people. in fact, one of the investments that we have invested in this is zenpayroll and josh reeves was here and he also was - led this seminar series a number of years back, and that was amazing. in fact, we are also investors in planetlabs. i believe that will will be here soon, so that's exciting. and then some of the first investments we had were companies

like revel systems and chubbies and robin hood all of which are stanford founders and you have this sort of relationship. now we do - i would say we've definitely gone beyond just those kinds of networks. but getting started is really important and when you are around people who are founding companies like those, you are in incredibly good hands. okay. so now i want to talk about people, principles and processes,

because this is a little bit tactical and sometimes when you're listening to somebody stand up here and tell you things, you say what can i do with it and what are my takeaways? and so i would like to tell you some of the things that we experiment with. one is --here is an interesting thing. so when you're trying to decide if you want to be an entrepreneur or if you want to be an employee, it's a - it's kind of a classic challenge for

people who have entrepreneurial instincts, which is pretty much everybody. what's really interesting about that choice is that entrepreneurs are so driven about what they want to do, that they will actually make what appears to be an irrational choice to do it, because they care so much. and that's because on an individual level when you put years into something,

the outcome range is too spread out. it's a very low probability even if you are a great founder that you have some sort outrageous exit and then you may have some sort of good outcome, and it may be the case that you take a low salary for years and then never get any equity either. and so you've got these three kinds of outcomes that can happen and it may be more rational if you could have a really good expected value as opposed to this kind of thing,

because a lot of people that i know that are building companies are doing it because they are driven to do it. so the financial trade-off is very strange, because you have this like crazy payoff system for one person and, i mean, it's - i suppose it's great to make $1 billion, but like what if you had a way higher chance of making $20 million. i mean, there are sort of rational decisions that are kind of messed up with entrepreneurship and so what happens is you end up with the people who are the most insanely passionate doing it,

because otherwise it doesn't make that much sense. and then when you are an employee, usually the trade-off you are given there is we are going to tell you what to do, we are going to give you a pay check, not a lot of upside, but at least you're going to get a regular paycheck. so your downside is kind of protected from a cash flow perspective and so that can become kind of rational from a practicality standpoint. so now you have these two extremes.

and at rothenberg ventures we do believe that there could be a best of all worlds. we sort of generally believe that about everything, just because if you believe that, then you might as well - you can probably try to figure out how that works. and let's just say that you could get the expected value of an excellent group of entrepreneurs, but you could also build something that you really cared about,

maybe also with infrastructure and even better, if you had a lot of autonomy. remember, even entrepreneurs do have bosses. they have investors, and they have people who sit on their boards, they have other people. so nobody doesn't have a boss, the question is who do you want to have - who do you want to be weighing in on the decisions that matter to you. and so we are building a platform for entrepreneurs.

we are trying to make it rational here for people who want to build something that they are very mission driven about, to actually be able to be in an environment where they can build that without a lot of red tape, without a lot of friction, they can be very mission driven, have the resources of a firm, the stability of the paycheck, and the expected value upside of a venture firm, because that's where you can have pooled upside. and it is fairly unique,

if not completely unique to our firm that everybody at our firm who is - works full-time is eligible to receive carry upside. and so what that does is that means that everybody can actually be working for the same thing. and that's also alignment with our lps and our founders. and without that alignment it's very difficult to talk out of both sides of your mouth. if you don't have that alignment, you don't have that alignment. so that's what we have and when we work together and pull together,

then you can have an expected value that is like a venture firm and therefore can be more rational for the individual, but you could be working on something that's really important to you. so we are working on so many different kinds of things that, but there is different people working on them that you can imagine a scenario where there is 20 different projects, 20 different leaders of them, and then when they need to flex into a group of 20, they have got 19 more entrepreneurs,

problem solvers, who can actually help out and support, so that you can do crazy things. and one of the crazy things we do is we host about 200 events a year. we host about 200 events a year. and to do that, you have to tackle an insane number of logistics. and these do range from anything from dinners and speaker sessions, not unlike this, to puppy hours, where we have puppies in virtual reality and during the cocktail hour,

to last monday we rented out at&t park and we had 500 mostly founders, come and share small group sessions, learn from luminaries, try 20 virtual reality demos and hit baseballs from home plate. and so we - that ties back into before about how do you engage a community? you actually have to be doing things that people care about and have to do it on a regular basis. and if you are working with high opportunity cost people,

people who are building firms and it's incredibly hard to do that, and they have very little free time, and people who are maybe a little further in their career, but they are still - they still have a lot of options in front of them, then it's really hard to get people too excited to spend their most valuable asset time, unless it's amazing. and so you have to create amazing opportunities and get people very excited and then you have to bring something

else that's hard to bring which is the future. you have to be able to show people something that they haven't yet seen and so at all of our events we try to show what we believe the future could be and then we have some say in that because we are investing in the future. and that's where some of the - i promise i will get to virtual reality, but that's where some of that is. so then on the principle basis, i think we have a couple of principles that

i want to touch on before moving on. one is we have a culture of improv and it's the whole culture. it's actually not just like one thing we do. one of the best classes i took at stanford was improv. if you haven't taken that, please do. it is so insightful when it comes to business and life. and they teach you some very basic things that you should never ever not do. one of them is say, yes.

you can actually always say yes. you don't have to let people manipulate you or make you do something, but you can find the good in what anybody is saying, because you should first of all be dealing with people that you have some modicum of trust for and therefore there is a basis there. when people say something, even when you want to say no, you can find a way to say yes. and so what we do is, even we have an instinct of saying no, we'll say yes and.

we'll try to find the truth first, and then we will try to explore, and it's wonderful to the human ear to hear yes and it's really grating to hear no. so i encourage people to find the yes and in everything. the other thing is with improv what's really cool is that you are having to figure things out as you go. if it doesn't go perfect, you are - that's still the world you're living in, so you might as well still adjust to that and move forward.

and if you are talking and trying to share a very intimate moment to like a lot of people and somebody's phone goes off, you could actually not be happy about that, or you could say that happened, now we're going to make a lesson out of it, laugh together and move forward. and that's true with almost everything. and so we believe in improv and we believe in supporting each other. it's very rewarding to watch people support each other,

that's why that's such a lesson in improv and when the attitude is how do we help each other, but everybody actually has that attitude, then you are way bigger than the sum of your parts. the other thing for principles is structuring things for alignment. it is very difficult if you find yourself in a one-shot game, so in terms of game theory, where there is nothing afterwards, because then it's just a matter of how do you divide up the pie, whatever the pie is.

whatever it is, time, money, whatever you're trying to split up, it's - so my first piece of advice is don't be in a one-shot game, just don't be in that game. and secondly, if you're in one, there is way more opportunities to turn it into a multi shot game than you might imagine. so what you try to do is, you try to find a reason to do business again with somebody. i'm talking about a business standpoint,

but this should just apply overall. but if you're in a situation with somebody where you believe it's a one-shot game, then try to find a way to make it a multi shot game. so we were in a position, a couple of weeks ago, where we got to - there was a large financial organization that kind of pulled out from supporting a cause, it was the global citizens festival, in washington dc and they had a partner that said they were no longer

going to help out and there was only a few days notice and because we are built on improv and sort of just-in-time principles and things, and we have friends there, then they said is there something you might be able to do to help us out? and so that is really interesting, because that could have been a one-shot game or maybe we give some financial support or some time and then we're done or we could say, yes actually let's look at the whole thing,

maybe we could film this in virtual reality, maybe we could help you out with that, but maybe our capabilities of hosting so many events, we could host one of your like - one of your events for one piece of that. maybe we could also bring the virtual reality demos and people could actually experience that and love that, and maybe your next event we could be part of that too. now we just turned that into a relationship and a multi shot

game and it becomes - and there are win wins everywhere. and that's actually really true. so when you are looking for alignment, try to either be in a multi shot game or create a multi shot game out of it. the other thing is - oh, everyone is rational. that's not necessarily what i believed for a long time, because it's too easy to say, because they are doing that, that is not rational.

actually everyone is an incentive creature, and we all are. and when you think somebody is acting irrationally, you don't yet understand them. be really careful what you do when you don't know why - what somebody is doing is rational. and then if you have this general philosophy that everybody is acting rationally for them, they're acting with their worldview, their incentives, what they believe,

and then that allows you to be empathetic and you try to understand what is that? and if you work hard to be empathetic, and really understand where they're coming from, what that perspective is, that will allow you to find the win wins and create the multi shot games and structure things for success. so we have a very strong focus on trying to make sure that there are win wins everywhere and we are aligning ourselves like that.

and that ties back into building the network as well. so i had already touched on the processes. one of the big ones is people, principles and processes itself, because everything we do we want to identify who is doing that, what are the principles, not necessarily the rules that we'll do. what are our goals and like what we are trying to follow and then outlining what the process is. and the process is almost like coding.

so you do this and then based on if then than that, then if then there's that and if you do things enough times like whether it's hosting events or investing in companies, you should be able to create a process that is general enough to work in situations. you're always going to use judgment, you're always going to use people, but processes is more fun than you think, especially if you come from an engineering background to

try to say actually what are - what is the relevant environments and then you see if people can break your code. and if an event doesn't go the way you wanted, your code got broken, how do you fix that? if you have a team of entrepreneurs, the people thing is on lockdown, and then if you have principles that are - that do things like be nice to people and give as much as you can, and say yes, then that solves a world of problems. i would love to live in a world where everybody is doing that always.

so i'm going to end here before q&a with strategy and virtual reality. and the strategy component - i'm going to - this is where i'm going to say some things that i haven't said publicly, i'm testing this out and it won't be fully baked, but i will try. so the first part of strategy which is kind of how we started doing this is it's a blue ocean versus red ocean strategy. and for those of you who don't know, this came - this particular thing came about in a harvard business

school class where we sat through a strategy class and there is 900 people per class at harvard business school who will largely do a lot of management and leadership. and that's fair, because you really kind of go there to do that and they're pretty good at selecting that and then people really do that afterwards. and so they say okay, you're going to be managing things and leading and so it turns out that at least 95% of the world is a red ocean.

by that i mean a lot of people know about that particular space, people are operating in it, people are competing with each other. it makes sense to focus on that, because that's about or at least 95% of people in jobs and things are. so what we do is, we spend probably 95% of our time in red oceans. so they'll say, okay, in a red ocean you have to out compete, you got to get your processes down.

you really need to - you need to be fast, you're going to be a little bit faster and you need to be a little bit better, a little bit better recruiting, it is really hard to differentiate in a red ocean, because everybody understands what's going on. i think it's red ocean, because it's a bloodbath. and so it's like everybody knows and you want to get the 2%, you got to beat the market.

the market is doing this. you got to go 2% higher and that's actually a fair characterization, because that's really the way most of the world is. and so everybody taking notes and like trying to prepare for the test and all this stuff. and then like near the end of the class, they said we want to talk a little bit about blue ocean. so when you're in a blue ocean it means that it's kind of a new market,

it hasn't fully developed and people are not yet sure where it's going to go. but everybody wins, because it's a blue ocean and everybody is gathering the opportunities. and now back to red oceans. rewind, what did you just say? in a blue ocean everybody can win until it becomes a red ocean? then the question then becomes how do i get to a blue ocean? stop this red ocean nonsense.

there may not be very many of them. i should be focused on blue oceans, let everybody else deal with the red oceans. and what's - so the reason why blue oceans are hard is because people haven't discovered them yet. so you have to be an explorer and you have to be on the cutting edge of innovation and things that are interesting and that's why the future matters is because the future is where the - the future red oceans is where the blue oceans are today.

so you have to care about that to find them. and it's really important to be in a blue ocean even if what you're doing is joining a company, advising a company, support, whatever, you need to be parts of blue oceans. and the way to find the blue oceans is talk to the people trying to find the blue oceans with a history of finding them. and one of the things that we do is we have been experimenting with virtual reality for two years.

we have been investing in things like electronic currency. we have - we're investing in drones and space travel and these are all potentially blue oceans. now the blue oceans start as blue ponds. so it's difficult to see the growth rate that a blue ocean, that a blue pond can turn into a blue lake and be a blue ocean, because if you're in a blue pond, it could actually dry up. it could turn into a blue lake and stay a blue lake.

it could turn into a blue lake and go back to a blue pond. and so it's not as easy as saying, oh that's blue. it maybe blue, but you've to also be seeing the rate at which it's growing. but if you're there, and you are in a blue pond and you see it rapidly turning into a blue lake and then it turns into a blue ocean, you may have just found something great for your career. and if you're in a red ocean, i really urge you to find - just swim,

swim, swim to the blue pond, it may seem like it's smaller, it may seem like it's not as great, but it is the proverbial, be a big fish there and try to figure out not only where it's going but help build where it's going. it is the fish in the blue ponds that build the blue lakes. so here is one of my favorite points of the talk. i saved it for 45 minutes in, not on purpose. so what's - i'm going to tell you my strategy. it's a very - i debated this a lot,

because it's not something you really are taught to lead with, here is what i'm planning to do, because you may not do it right, you may not - there is a lot of ways that could go wrong. so it's better to tell people what you did rather than what you're hoping to do. but here i am really trying to also inspire and i'm trying to get support. we are trying to build a network and a community. so if i'm very forward about what we're trying to do,

then maybe we'll attract the kinds of investors to us, the people that we can invest in, people that we can have on our team, people who generally support us, if you're on board with that. and so, here is our strategy. step one, if you want the platform of entrepreneurs, you do have to have essentially a venture capital business model if you are trying to get the pooled upside of an entrepreneur. and so in venture capital,

because the seed stage as i described before, is really an unsolved problem. it's really a blue pond that turned into a blue lake, but there is a lot of people swimming around and they're trying kind of red ocean strategies in a blue lake. because that's the way this is, that's a great place to be trying something different. so the only way you definitely lose in that blue lake is if you're doing the same thing that everybody is doing in the red ocean.

so as long as you're trying something new, you have a chance of success. and so we are in a blue lake, experimenting with the fact - of building a network to try to invest in the best founders and seed companies there are. and if you can pull that off, then you should be able to continue to build a network, get great founders, great support and then continue to complete the ecosystem by working with them even after

they finish as advisors and investors and so on. so step one try to build a - some sort of venture model, but do it in a blue ocean or blue lake. so that's the main thing we do and that's the core of what we do, that's why we have invested in 80 companies. step two is give people a reason to care. and for us we created a brand called river which is still the same team, it's still all of us and it is the brand for everything awesome.

yes, what does that mean? so it's - you know awesome when you see it and you care about awesome because it's awesome. and i will give you some examples. 200 events where we're engaging people through things like virtual reality, renting out at&t park and having people hit baseballs, but all along being able to interact with people who are incredible and learning things.

that's awesome. and if you want to pick a cause to support there, then helping a shelter and being able to play with puppies while you're there and talking to people is awesome, and being able to watch great sporting events is awesome and things like that. so events are awesome. we believe that virtual reality is awesome, so we create experiences like that.

we actually have a production studio, it's the same team. we also do investing. we create vr experiences and then we share them. we've found that people think that that's really awesome. and we do have a racing team. and the global rallycross lites division there is a river racing team, that is us and it's a brand for everything awesome. that also helps us engage our community, keep the dialogue going,

have vr experiences and it turns out that both founders and investors like being at racetracks and riding in race cars and be having that experience and it's awesome and it helps us engage our community. and that leads us to step three, which is the most awesome of all. philanthropy is really awesome. and the difficult thing about philanthropy is that the value that it can add is way bigger than anything else and the economic ratio is the most off. so it's a cash train.

and philanthropy is really incredible, because that is what gets us the closest to health and life and things that really matter. and all these other things we do can be really important. creating jobs is important, building products and services that make people's lives better is important, but actually having people get education when they didn't have it is a step function,

people get things like clean water and food when they didn't have it, is awesome and people who have qualities of life when they didn't is awesome. those are the step functions that's most awesome, those are the same people who have the most trouble paying for it now. and there is something really interesting though which is that a lot of the people that i want to work with and people that i know want to work with all care more about those types of issues

than all the other things i have been talking about. and that's what makes it incredibly awesome. and there are win-wins in places that you may not know. and so if you do think that someday your firm will be profitable and i don't know why you are doing it if not, then don't wait 10, 20 years to actually start building off philanthropic capabilities which some people are tempted to do separate from their company, do it now. and do it in the - do it authentically for what you can do.

so that's what we believe. that's a value for us to give back in small ways and bigger ways and in ways that we have some differentiated advantage. so we are working with organizations internationally and domestic to film virtual reality experiences for nonprofits to be able to create that empathy machine. and we will do a lot of that. and we will be telling stories not just telling stories of places and bringing it here,

because virtual reality is that medium but also taking it there and showing other people what lives can be like with education and with hard work and things like that. and so that's authentic to us, because we can do that now. and my very explicit dream and i think it's shared by a lot of people on our team is that we can continue to invest in great companies, we can build and create awesome experiences, people care about that and then we can actually work on the biggest problems that change the world and that's awesome,

that helps employee retention, that helps employee recruitment. this is not a small thing, this is the biggest thing. the best people in the world will only work at a place like that once it exists. so if you have that capability, it's not that you are - don't focus on the amount of money that you're losing or spending. spend what you can, lose what you can,

maximize that and make sure that you are attracting the best people in the world to do that. so that's the three pronged approach. i hope it works. i really hope it works. and then i'm just going to end with a quick thing on virtual reality so that we can do a few minutes of q&a. i took a lot of time here. so virtual reality is really interesting,

because it's been around for decades. it's not a new technology, even as recent as the '90s the matrix is a virtual reality movie, about virtual reality. and then there have been tons of experiments and a lot of them have failed up until now. and that's because it's really hard to create - it's been really hard to create a virtual reality experience where as you move your head, your goggles could render in real-time.

so it's about a 10th of a second. if you can't have your screen render as fast as you can move your head, at least process it, you get nauseous, because your brain says i must be concussed if i can't keep up with what's going on here and it's a jarring experience. the other thing is that it's very - the computing power is very expensive and then the screens have to be very high quality. and so it was really the mobile movement that made this possible, because that allowed manufacturers such as apple and samsung and things

to be able to figure out how to build screens that are really high quality at a very affordable price and the cpu is the same thing. and so what happened really i would say in 2014 for the first time is that this mobile device that so many of us have became a virtual reality machine. everyone has a virtual reality headset, who has a smart mobile phone. you might be a $5 accessory away from actually creating the experience, but this is a virtual reality headset.

you all have them. when people are wondering about adoption for virtual reality, you have them and it's viral and when you try a great experience, you want to try more great experiences. and samsung made this super clear in probably about october when they came out with their gear vr and said put this phone in here, you have a virtual reality headset and the experiences are incredible. and we had already been investing in virtual

reality for a couple of years, because it was a blue pond and then it turned into a blue lake and then when we saw that, we said this is going to be a blue ocean. the internet in 1995 is like virtual reality is today. it's not fully there, but it's very obvious where it's going. it's nascent, but it will be ubiquitous. we hope that you try virtual reality with us. we - with that excitement,

we looked for where the center of the ecosystem was for virtual reality, we realized there wasn't one. we are entrepreneurs. we said we need to create that. so we built a program for virtual reality companies to - and we announced publicly we were going to invest in at least 10 and put at least $1 million across the 10 if not more and we are going to do it in two months.

and so then we put out that signal. turns out there are hundreds of virtual reality companies. it has - the venture community up until that point had really not considered this too strongly, so the vast majority were not venture backed and we were able to get hundreds of applications and pick 13 companies which we created the first and called it river, because river is awesome. and so then they just graduated a few days

ago and gave their presentations actually. there is a meet up called svvr, that's near here where you can - it's a two day meet up on the 18th and 19th where you can actually see those demos and you can see the presentations. it's really incredible and you can see where the world of virtual reality is going. but at stanford, in particular, i would encourage people to invest in

learning about this, building this; this is the bluest lake i have ever seen. i would encourage you swim there. that's it. innovation is a permutation problem. take great ideas and put them together in new ways. i started out as a mathematician. i don't think i've changed. try them out, test them rapidly,

see what works, and please don't remember that execution is vastly more important than ideas. everybody has ideas, execution is very hard and it's tangible and you can see it. swim to the blue lakes, try virtual reality and i'm ready for questions. can you please discuss the process of finding the 14 lps that you raised $5 million from to start with, how did that process go?

the question is can you please describe how you found your first lps. the question is how do you - how did you find your first lps - it's got to get the sound check right. so the audio has to sync. thank you. so how do you find your first lps? actually this is a great question for how you find a start-up, your first lps, anything that you're trying to mobilize out of nothing.

it's your last 10 years of building relationships. it always is. it's just not smart for people to invest in somebody that they don't ever know or know anything about, because then their question should always be shouldn't it be the people who know you the best who do that first? the answer is yes. and if none of the people who know you the best will do that, then you're not ready yet.

and then you have to build those relationships. so my pitch may have taken a summer, but it really took 10 years. i'm going to ask you a tactical question, because i know a little bit about rothenberg ventures and what makes it unique and one of the things that i thought was very interesting is your philosophy of not taking a board seat on any of your companies. could you talk about why you do that? yes. well, we will take board seats in the interims

when the companies really need us to. so the philosophy is really more about being supportive of the founders in every way we can, but also trying to align incentives and trying to find the best overall outcome. so if you take yourself out of the equation and you're investing in a company, then the real question becomes who is the right board member? of course you need governance.

maybe not necessarily in the first year or so when everything is so hectic and crazy that you have to mobilize, it's not that you have to form a board immediately or even that i recommend that. but as soon as you start taking on people's capital from the outside, you are a fiduciary and when you do that, then it's pretty smart to have great advice and governance. and so at that point, the question is who are the best board members in the world

for this start-up and how do i get them to do that? and it is people who have experience in particular in that industry. so you get kind of your investor for free or venture capitalist, we're going to help you anyway, we are the most aligned with you, we gave you a bunch of money, we care a lot and we built up an ecosystem to help you. so you get us for free. so why put us on your board? we're probably not the right ones and there is almost certainly

many people in our network who are better at advising us, who have built this before and so that's how we approach that. the problem is who is the right person? it's not usually us. and it could be if the company is so small or in interim period where they really need that advice and in that case we will help them out in the interim until we find somebody better. the answer to this question is probably another lecture, but you talked about the last 10 years.

can you paint a thumbnail of what the world looks like to you in 10 years time? so the question is what do i think the world is going to look like in 10 years? i'm a process person, so i'll kind of tell you how we will approach it. we don't really spend a lot of time actually worried about that, because we are worried about how to be there at the right place in the 10 years.

and so we're kind of working on our stroke instead of like trying to look at crystal balls. and so what happens is what is guaranteed is that there will be a lot of innovation and people will create all kinds of crazy things and they will come out of nowhere and that is why the blue oceans come out, because nobody saw them coming from the blue ponds. and so what we will do is, we will invest in the blue ponds and then more in the blue lakes and even more in the blue oceans until they turn red.

and so as that happens, we want to be there. so to answer your question though more directly, virtual reality is such a big deal because this will take at least a decade, probably way longer, to play out. and it is there in terms of hardware, software and content. it's half - it's really half amazing and half imagination. and so when you're trying - you've got to kind see where that's going. and that's going to take a while and it's really interesting.

so i do see that the experiences and how we engage with almost everything around us will be affected by that, everything, every industry. so that's why that's so interesting. and then, will space travel matter? yeah, people will hop on - like do that occasionally at a high-end and all that stuff. so there's all these other things that like kind of matter. you can see what we are investing in in our portfolio to see

the clues on what we think is going to matter in a few years. but people will still be people. there will still be massive amounts of problems. we are going to need to philanthropy more than ever. and we hope that there are as many companies as possible, please let this be a call to action that actually simultaneously take care of profit models, try to create something interesting and awesome for people to engage with and then use all of that community and support to

actually work on philanthropy in a for-profit situation, because with the same team so that you can take all the learnings you have in the for-profit sector, pay people like a for-profit sector, solve problems like it's non-profit. i hope that there are a lot of companies that are doing that in the future. we don't know that that's going to be the case yet, but maybe this talk will encourage somebody to do that.

this is so wonderful. please join me in thanking mike and wishing him a wonderful birthday.

No comments:

Post a Comment